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English

 

 Article to the anniversary of G. Kh. Popov:
«My profession is thinking. And I think. About the past and the future of my Motherland.

About
Russia…»  

Gavriil Kharitonovich Popov was born on October 31, 1936, in Moscow. A graduate of the Faculty of Economics of MSU, holder of Stalin’s and Lenin’s scholarships. Secretary of the All-Union Young Leninist League’s Committee of the Moscow State University. In 1970, G.Kh. Popov became the youngest USSR’s doctor of science in economy, as he defended his theses «Methodological problems in the theory of public production management». In 1971, he became a Professor.
In 1963—1988, he worked at the Faculty of Econo-mics of MSU — as an assistant, associate professor, laboratory chief, holder of chair and dean. In 1988—1992, G. Kh. Popov was editor-in-chief of the Voprosy Ekonomiki magazine. He was elected a member of the USSR People’s Deputies Soviet, worked as a Co-Chairman of the Interregional Deputy Group (1989—1991), together with Yu.N. Afanasiev, B. N. Yeltsin,
A. D. Sakharov and V. A. Palm. Chairman of the Moscow Soviet of People’s Deputies (1990—1991), the Mayor of Moscow (1991—1992).
G. Kh. Popov has contributed much to the establishment of non-governmental associations of economists both in Russia and abroad. G. Kh. Popov became one of initiators of the second birth of the Free Economic Society of Russia. His name is tightly bound with the establishment of the International Union of Economists that has become a reputable international organization over the 20 years of its work, and now unites the representatives of 48 countries across the world. The International Union of Economists was appropriated the status of the General Counsel of the UN’s Economic and Social Council.
Starting from 1991, G. Kh. Popov was President of the International Union of Economists (was unanimously elected to occupy this post in 1996, 2001, 2006, and 2011.). Since 1992 he has been President and founder of the International University in Moscow. Beginning August 1991, and till the year-end, G. Kh. Popov performed duties of the President of the All-Union Economic Society. On January 9, 1992, the delegates of the First (founding) Congress of VEO of Russia elected Gavriil Kharitonovich Popov to the position of its President. Later on, he was re-elected in 1995, 2000, 2005 and 2010. Beginning 2009, he has been the President of the International Academy of Management. President of the Russian subdivision of the Universal League for Freedom and Democracy.
G. Kh. Popov is a Full Cavalier of the medals of VEO of Russia (he was given the Big Gold and the Big Silver medals). In 2001, G. Kh. Popov was awarded with the Diploma of the «Golden Foundation of the International Union of Economists». G. Kh. Popov was given the Lomonosov Award in 1986, the monetary part of it he transferred to the foundation for the restoration of the monastery on the Solovetskiye Islands, well-known in the time of Lenin and Stalin as a prison camp for political prisoners. G. Kh. Popov is Academician of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, Honored Academician of the International Academy of Management.
G. Kh. Popov was entitled «Honorary graduate of Lomonosov Moscow State University».
For years, G. Kh. Popov has been a member of the management board at the USSR-Greece Association, and later on, he headed this association. After the breakup of the Soviet Union, the association was reorganized into the Federation of Greek Communities PONTOS.
G. Kh. Popov is the Honored Citizen of Tokyo and Seoul, and also, of the Maryland, USA, the Honored Master of the South Utah University (USA) and the Dowling College (New York).
In 2009 G. Kh. Popov received the first award of the Eurasian Club of Scientists for the historical study on the development of the Russian and world economy, and for the achievements providing new ways and vistas for economic development (this year, the award was given to the winner of Noble Prize in economy, R. A. Mandell).
Books by Popov have been published in the USSR, China, Hungary, Poland, Bulgaria, Czechia, Mongolia, Slovakia, Croatia, Vietnam, Cuba, France, the USA, UK, Italy, Japan and other countries. The selected works of G.Kh. Popov in eight volumes were published in 1996, and the selected works published in foreign languages in four volumes saw the light in 1997. 8 composite volumes by G. Kh. Popov were published in 2004; their topics were the following: «On Art and Life», «On the Russian History», «On the Contemporary History», «On the World, in Which Russia Must Survive», «On Revolution of 1989—1991», «On Moscow Version of Democratic Reforms (1990—1992)», «On Democracy of Functionaries and Oligarchy», «On Democracy of Functionaries (2000—2004)».
8 (of the projected 10) books of the subject collection «The Wolfhound Century Rushes to My Throat» were published in 2008—2011.
G. Kh. Popov has always been in the limelight of the Russia’s social life. His numerous articles were published in many print publications: «Crisis and Global Problems. For the April meeting of G-20» (March, 2009), «The Major Anti-Crisis Strategy of Russia» (May, 2009), «We’re Waiting for Changes, Again» (April, 2010), «It Doesn’t Matter What Color the Cat Is for As Long As It Catches Mice» (July, 2010), «When Millions of Russian Slaves Became Free» (March, 2011), «Ways to Escape off the Gunpowder Keg» (April, 2011), «Prophet Renounced» (May, 2011), «We’ll Do without the Sacred Cow» (June, 2011), «GKChP: Twenty Years After» (August, 2011), etc.
To celebrate his 75th anniversary, the Economicheskaya Gazeta Publishing House published a collection of publicist works and essays devoted to the life and creative work of Gavriil Kharitonovich called «Amidst the Storms of the Epoch», within the framework of the book series «Presidents of VEO». The collection also entails articles from the book «Economist on Issues Other Than Economy», and his memories about his teachers, friends, associates, as well as their personal impressions from Popov’s works, collaboration with him, and scientific debates, meetings, dialogues and discussions Popov took part in. The book retains the style, the spirit, the tone the economist uses to speak about «issues other than economy»; it is an attempt to understand Popov as a personality, as a citizen, as a patriot of his country, as a person who devotes himself and his experience to the benefit of Russia’s today and tomorrow.
The TONCHU Publishing House has published a book of the selected works by G.Kh. Popov, «The Wolfhound Century Rushes to My Throat. Rethinking About the Fate of Russia in the 21st century», by his anniversary.

We would like to turn to the works of one of the most rational personalities of our country — G. Kh. Popov for searching answers to pressing questions.

What does one of the prominent economists and reformers in Russia think about now?

«There are three features characteristic of today’s Russia.
The first is the millstone of ever aggravating and unsolvable problems around the country’s neck. Year after year we see forest fires. Year after year we see floods. Year after year we see lack of places in the kindergartens. Year after year we see traffic jams. Year after year we see feed grain exported and meat imported. Year after year the main morning news we look for is oil and gas prices. Year after year we see corrupt prosecutors, judges, police…
The second one is a stream of flowers of speech we hear from the two heads of the Russian eagle.
They speak on the hottest topics. Often, they accompany the speech with wise analysis. And promises, plans, offers abundant enough to sink a battleship in. Sometimes, they even add threats and promise to punish the guilty. Words, words, words…
The third is management imitation. Deputies and ministers come and go. Governors are reappointed. They hold meetings almost every day: with the President, or with the Prime Minister. Almost every week country’s leaders pay calls throughout Russia or abroad. However, their heavy activities look like the idle run of an engine working at full-scale output, while the car stays at its place. And what’s the result? Time belts have been changed because they can’t complain. There are enough Olympic and Student Games reserved in advance to satisfy our children and grandchildren …
All of these signs are quite familiar to the people of my generation: we saw them in the last twenty years of the USSR that were called a stagnation period, later on. The conclusions we made then are getting increasingly clear: living this way is possible no more. The problem is not the government; it is the impropriety of the state and economic mechanism itself».

Government system in Russia today

In the years of the USSR, «we had socialism, but not the Marx’s socialism, generally, we had the Lenin’s and Stalin’s socialism, the idea of which was the command-and-control socialism, the main role in which was played not by the level of the productive power development, like in the Marx’s socialism, but by the command of the governmental power, it was the socialism based on state bureaucracy.
Today, the system we live in is the one I call the functionaries’ system that formed as such not so long ago, and some time ago, I called it the power of functionaries and oligarchy. About ten years ago, our functionaries got strong enough to get rid of the liberal fellow-travelers, and then, decided that it did not need oligarchy either.
The system that has settled down in Russia that I call the economy of finance, or to put it right — it is the oligarchic-financial and functionaries’ economy, because it is not the pure classical imperialism under the command of financial monopolies. This is the system where financial oligarchs are bound tightly with functionaries, and we have gotten a completely new social phenomenon: functionaries adherent to top-bankers. This oligarchic-financial and functionaries’ economy that has settled down in Russia and worldwide, is already outdated, and can give us nothing even with the most sensible measures applied. In order to sum up this topic, I’d like to recall the fable by Ivan Andreevich Krylov about musicians that all of us remember since childhood. No matter how we change the musicians, no matter what rows they sit in, I’d even add that the music they play does not matter, as well, they are self-defeating. I think claims about the new government, the new team we need is simply another wording: we need a new policy, a new team, and new people».

The reform of 1990s is almost 20 years old, already. Looking back at the years past, what would you change in the reforms made? Was the strategy for the country’s development chosen right?

We should pay particular attention to the following: «In terms of economy, we should focus on the drastic fight against all forms of monopolism, both financial-oligarchic and state-bureaucratic. Private monopolism must be eliminated, as the most dangerous one. And the state one should be narrowed down to the inevitable minimum. To put it conventionally, if production of bread can be organized through thousands of small private bakeries, and thus provide everyone with bread for breakfast, all the large-scale bread-baking industry should be eliminated, no matter how profitable it is.
But in case a private nuclear power station is dangerous, it should be controlled by the state».
«In terms of politics, professional parties and politicians should be avoided. Instead of them, the leading role should be played by civil society organizations, such as trade unions, creative organizations, associations of doctors, teachers, engineers, as well as sports societies, consumer associations, associations of women, youth, pensioners, etc.
According to Solzhenitsin, not the upper strata but the primary link (country council, community, subdistrict, microdistrict) should become the main unit of a state structure. The deputies and the administrators of these institutions should firstly work in their areas and only then — in the structure of local authorities, as a rule, free of charge. Courts, law-enforcement agencies and mass media should be completely independent at both financial (due to special taxes) and organizational (self-regulatory) levels.
Populist democracy should be completely excluded from the process of establishing government structures. A person should have one vote only when selecting the Upper Chamber that secures human rights. When selecting the legislative house, people should have a number of votes that corresponds to their educational and intellectual qualification, as well as the amount of his profit tax. The government legislation should be drastically restricted to general necessary limits only. Key rules should be set by those they are related to: trade unions, communities, teachers’ societies, students’ associations, etc.».

What is the main lesson of the 2008 recession?

«I have already written about the need to change our governing team in connection with the insufficient efficacy of government anti-recession measures. The key goal — establishment and implementation of a postindustrial course — defines the character of this change: we need a postindustrial government rather than a government of effective anti-recession measures. But, no matter how far we have advanced in the improvement of the postindustrial society, the key lesson of the 2008 recession consists in the need for radical measures at the global level.
In connection with the slippage of the anti-recession measures, we have to (at least, theoretically) start considering fundamentally new models of the world’s economic structure and society. In my opinion, these models should necessarily be long-term and applied on an international scale. That is why I call them global.
We had to bear the severities of everyday life, the power and the privileges of talentless bureaucrats, ideological terrorism and many other things for the sake of the happy communistic future (according to Khrushchev, it had to come in the lifetime of the current generation of Soviet people). That is why I entirely understand my contemporaries’ deep antipathy towards any attempts to avoid the current problems by means of conversations devoted to the future — whether these are «national projects» or a «three-year budget».
But if we really want to overcome the current recession and, foremost, prevent the relapse (though the authorities and their paid ideologists tell us about the inevitability of recessions in the market economy), we have to discuss a scenario of the future that is alternative to the current financial economy.
If we want to avoid the relapse of the 2008 recession, we have to establish a new civilization where globalism will permanently overcome national-state and national-territorial forms. From the viewpoint of the nations, the most important aspect of this new globalism will be preservation and development of their national cultures. Competition between national cultures, a combination of their self-dependence and mutual enrichment will become a driver for the development of humanity».

What is the profile of modern Russian businessmen?

«First of all, they should be aware of general economic trends and modern scientific-technological progress. A lot of things can change over five years. If specialists do not see a vector of changes in their sphere and do not know its development prospects, they will hardly be able to successfully realize themselves. Secondly, modern businessmen should realize the value of complex efficacy. The contemporary world is characterized by the very high dynamics of multi-factor changes, it causes abrupt effects; therefore, businessmen should clearly understand when these or those investments will pay for themselves and when the chosen strategy will prove itself. The wider the specialist’s scope of intellect and the larger the number of factors they are able to take into account are, the more effective their activity is. And, finally, the third equally important aspect is the social responsibility of business. Business in a society where citizens are able to protect their rights cannot be other but socially-oriented.
Private initiative plays a huge role in social development. Only very narrow-minded people might think that only strictly centralized governmental power is able to provide social welfare. In the present-day world, governmental efforts will have effect only if they are combined with the private initiative and can be a source of such an initiative».

What way could be the most favorable one for Russia?

«In my opinion, the Chinese way is the best development path for Russia. When Perestroika began, I thought that development would be based on the system of Aleksandr II, i.e., tsarism itself would introduce reforms fundamentally incompatible with it. I thought that the top echelon of the CPSU would act in the same way — it would get over socialism while remaining within the system. But, despite my wish to implement the Chinese way of development, it cannot be used in our country. I can list the points included in the Chinese way of development.
First of all, the top echelon of the Chinese Communist Party consisted of people who had not grown in government rooms, had not made their way in life by taking part in backstage fights or different frauds. These were people who had been struggling in trenches for 30 years; they were fighters. It was a completely different stratum of people, different bureaucracy.
Secondly, in spite of anything said about the Red Guards, the Chinese Cultural Revolution leaded to the huge clean-up of the Chinese bureaucracy and renovated 2/3 of it. Therefore, all conservative elements were thrown out of the Communist Party, and a lot of young people joined it. Their key goal was the problem of efficacy; therefore, their slogan («It doesn’t matter what color the cat is as long as it catches mice») was fine and relevant. Chinese communists were ready to go far for the sake of a cat that catches mice.
And, finally, the third equally important factor is the historical traditions of the Chinese ideology, the Chinese approach. Taking into account the fact that Chinese people are not dogmatic and their religion (Confucia-nism) is pragmatic, their entire ideology is result-oriented. It was also contributory. In addition, it was one nation; it was not multi-national, with different religions and beliefs. And the last aspect: Deng Xiaoping is a doubtless desert and sunshine of the Chinese nation. This was a man who saw beyond, understood a lot and was ready to go all the way. We did not have such conditions; so, we were not able to go this way even if we wanted to. This became clear during the first three days of the work of the Congress of Peoples' Deputies».
«If Russia accepted Sakharov’s three strategic formulas — establishment of a convergent postindustrial society, Euro-Asian Union and operational opposition to the government with the conditional support of the governmental power regarding reforms — the history of Russia could have been different».

The future of Russia in the XXI century

«Russia as of the beginning of the èèI century is not the USSR of the times of the Great Depression of 1929. We have rather many advanced enterprises and even industries. Therefore the full rejection of the old economy in the spirit of the 1930s is impossible. But we need to realize that the main part of our economy is behind up-to-date requirements, whereas labor productivity is at least two times inferior».
The crisis of 2008 became a «purifying thunderstorm». «It was long-awaited and broke out contrary to our will. But we need to use the crisis, since it has taken place. We need to get rid of all «millstones around our neck» and of people who have flourished around these «millstones». The crisis will do the cleaning for us on its own or under our «connivance». Therefore it is unacceptable to «save» enterprises in blocks — even when it comes to former leaders, distinguished and strategic ones. We need to support the businesses that are contemporary according to the world standards or those able to quickly reach these standards by means of some investment and merging with the best companies of the West and East. There is a need to help increase the percentage of the use of raw materials, develop agriculture and production of clean products, without fertilizers and herbicides, organize someone to process our woods with their natural increment equaling millions of tons.
We need to force the industries of the future: solar batteries, wind, geothermal and tidal sources of energy, cheap and environmentally friendly communications — air ships and radio telephones. Roughly speaking, the nanotechnology block.
But all these directions — that can be called an innovative breakthrough — are a competition against something that other people are already doing.
Obviously, this will all allow Russia to stay a country keeping up with the time in the 21st century, but it will not be able to ensure the role of a great power for it. After all, this is an away game for us and we have to play it by the rules given. Indeed, the great future is only possible for the country, if the strategy of the innovative breakthrough is supplemented with the strategy of the intellectualization of Russia, with a course for turning it into one of the key world centers of theoretical, fundamental science. It has a basis (not yet destroyed) to make Russia in the 21st century one of the leading centers of the theoretical science and intellectual culture.
Experience shows that even the most developed countries — such as Japan — have not managed to become centers of theoretical science. But Russia — due to a number of factors — still can. What factors are they? This is the long-term development of the whole interconnected range of sciences, the whole block of theoretical research, the education that is focused on the intellectual development of young people. Intellectual culture of Russia and many more.
It is for intellectualization that we need to use the key anti-recession means. Let our teachers earn more than their counterparts in any other country and provide such a level of training and at such schools that kids and parents from the CIS countries and other countries would dream of. Let there be 100 higher educational institutes left, but they must be the best in the world and the aim of any ambitious young person. Let there be 100 scientific centers left, but these must be such a place where scientists would dream of working. After all, Catherine the Great did create such conditions that urged even the great Euler to come to Russia.
It is this kind of Russia that has a chance to stay in the 21st century as not only a successful and prosperous country, but also as a great empire».

 

 

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